WN 1608 · CUN → BWI

departs 1:09 PM EST · arrives 5:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CUN (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

BWI (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1608 · CUN → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?