WN 1655 · DEN → SAN

departs 12:04 PM MT · arrives 1:30 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±7 pts +26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.44 in

SAN (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1655 · DEN → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?