WN 1661 · DEN → SAT

departs 10:58 AM MT · arrives 2:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts −29 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ This flight has been late 43% of the time recently

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

SAT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1661 · DEN → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?