WN 1685 · ICT → LAS

took off 12:55 PM CT · landed 12:59 PM PT (scheduled 12:41 PM CT → 1:31 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ICT that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ ICT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ICT (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.32 in

LAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1685 · ICT → LAS

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAS?