Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1689
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 1689 · DAL → AUS
departs 5:50 PM CT · arrives 6:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±1 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.