WN 1694 · DEN → STL

took off 6:41 AM MT · expected to land 9:17 AM CT (scheduled 6:34 AM MT → 9:37 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to STL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from DEN are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

STL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1694 · DEN → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?