WN 1712 · DSM → DEN

took off 7:31 AM CT · landed 7:58 AM MT (scheduled 7:06 AM CT → 8:01 AM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at DSM that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.76 in

DEN (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1712 · DSM → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?