Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1716
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
WN 1716 · DEN → SEA
departs 6:15 PM MT · arrives 8:30 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 49%
Fri 10/2 50%
Sat 10/3 34%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±6 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
6pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.35 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.