WN 174 · LAS → DAL

departs 2:08 PM PT · arrives 6:43 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts +51 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ 2pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 174 · LAS → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?