WN 1752 · AUS → ELP

departs 2:05 PM CT · arrives 2:45 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.18 in

ELP (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1752 · AUS → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?