Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1753
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 1753 · DEN → STL
departs 10:20 AM MT · arrives 1:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 11%
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3 12%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
−19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −19 pts in 24h
−19 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10am departures from DEN are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.