WN 1760 · MKE → MCO

departs 2:11 PM CT · arrives 5:45 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MKE that day

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MKE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.38 in

MCO (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1760 · MKE → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?