WN 1792 · FLL → MCO

departs 4:45 PM ET · arrives 5:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.17 in

MCO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1792 · FLL → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?