WN 182 · SJO → MCO

departs 9:04 AM CST · arrives 2:08 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJO

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

Weather at each end

SJO (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

MCO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 182 · SJO → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?