Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 185
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 185 · AUS → FLL
departs 3:00 PM CT · arrives 6:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
AUS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.14 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 6,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.