WN 1885 · JAX → DEN

took off 9:17 AM ET · landed 10:30 AM MT (scheduled 8:54 AM ET → 10:25 AM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JAX

↓ 8am departures from JAX are usually not late

Weather at each end

JAX (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1885 · JAX → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?