Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1939
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 1939 · PHX → TUL
departs 8:10 PM MT · arrives 12:35 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/6 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
46%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at TUL that day
↑
8pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TUL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.