WN 1957 · BOS → SAN

took off 9:23 AM ET · expected to land 11:43 AM PT (scheduled 9:10 AM ET → 12:15 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAN?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 44% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

SAN (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1957 · BOS → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?