WN 195 · LAX → ABQ

departs 2:44 PM PT · arrives 5:45 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ABQ that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ ABQ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ABQ (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 195 · LAX → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?