Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1974
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 1974 · HOU → PNS
departs 7:15 PM CT · arrives 8:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 37%
Fri 10/2 31%
Sat 10/3 28%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at PNS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PNS?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from HOU are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PNS
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.37 in
PNS (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.