WN 197 · DAL → AUS

departs 6:18 PM CT · arrives 7:20 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
32%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.15 in

AUS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 197 · DAL → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?