WN 1982 · SAN → DAL

departs 1:45 PM PT · arrives 6:37 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from SAN are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SAN that day

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1982 · SAN → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?