WN 1988 · LAS → MCI

took off 7:29 AM PT · landed 11:45 AM CT (scheduled 6:54 AM PT → 11:41 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MCI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from LAS are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,620 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.59 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1988 · LAS → MCI

Odds over time

How late did it get to MCI?