WN 1998 · ABQ → LAS

took off 11:19 AM MT · landed 11:25 AM PT (scheduled 11:02 AM MT → 11:43 AM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ABQ that day

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.15 in

LAS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1998 · ABQ → LAS

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAS?