WN 199 · MDW → DAL

took off 8:21 AM CT · landed 10:11 AM CT (scheduled 8:11 AM CT → 10:26 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DAL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.08 in

DAL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 199 · MDW → DAL

Odds over time

How late did it get to DAL?