Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2002
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2002 · HOU → LAS
departs 2:40 PM CT · arrives 3:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 42%
Fri 10/2 35%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
47%
chance · ±2 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
47%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
2pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.34 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.