WN 2003 · HOU → SAN

departs 2:36 PM CT · arrives 4:01 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from HOU are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SAN that day

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

SAN (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2003 · HOU → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?