Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2003 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

WN 2003 · SAN → BOI

departs 6:14 PM PT · arrives 8:58 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from SAN are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

BOI (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2003 · SAN → BOI

Odds over time