Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2006
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2006 · AUS → ELP
departs 8:55 AM CT · arrives 9:25 AM MT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 9%
Fri 10/2 11%
Sat 10/3 3%
Mon 10/5 5%
Tue 10/6 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at ELP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ELP?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
AUS is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into ELP at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.14 in
ELP (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.