Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2013
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2013 · HOU → LGA
departs 5:50 AM CT · arrives 10:15 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 6%
Fri 10/2 8%
Sat 10/3 6%
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
This flight has been late 13% of the time recently
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from HOU are usually not late
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.37 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.