WN 2044 · ICT → MDW

departs 3:03 PM CT · arrives 4:54 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ICT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,200 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↓ ICT usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ICT (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.51 in

MDW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.44 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2044 · ICT → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?