Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2053
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2053 · HOU → MSY
departs 7:10 PM CT · arrives 8:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 17%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at HOU that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from HOU are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.