WN 2087 · STL → OMA

departs 8:51 PM CT · arrives 10:12 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OMA?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at OMA that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from STL are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ OMA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OMA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2087 · STL → OMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to OMA?