WN 2122 · AUS → ABQ

departs 7:05 PM CT · arrives 8:03 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

98% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ ABQ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.13 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2122 · AUS → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?