Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2134
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2134 · DAL → MSY
departs 6:35 PM CT · arrives 8:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 60%
Fri 10/2 56%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±1 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.