WN 2168 · OMA → STL

departs 4:39 PM CT · arrives 6:03 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OMA that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ OMA usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.76 in

STL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2168 · OMA → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?