Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2176 LANDED 5:35 AM CT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 2176 · LAS → HOU

took off 1:11 AM PT · landed 5:35 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 44% of the time recently

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2176 · LAS → HOU

Odds over time