WN 2183 · PHX → COS

departs 5:13 PM MT · arrives 7:52 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to COS?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 40 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at COS that day

↑ 5pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ COS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

COS (destination) Gusts40 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.81 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2183 · PHX → COS

Odds over time

How late will it get to COS?