WN 2201 · LAS → MCI

departs 5:34 PM PT · arrives 10:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ 5pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling11,714 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,433 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.42 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2201 · LAS → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?