WN 2205 · LAS → MDW

departs 6:23 AM PT · arrives 11:45 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±2 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from LAS are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.50 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2205 · LAS → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?