Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2230 LANDED 6:11 PM CT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

WN 2230 · AMA → DAL

took off 5:18 PM CT · landed 6:11 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

66% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

Weather at each end

AMA (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.83 in

DAL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2230 · AMA → DAL

Odds over time