Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2232
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2232 · DEN → TPA
departs 7:15 PM MT · arrives 12:55 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 33%
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3 35%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 30%
Tue 10/6 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±0 pts
−17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
63%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
TPA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.