Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2240
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2240 · LAS → HNL
departs 10:20 AM PT · arrives 1:40 PM HT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 33%
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 2.5 mi, 2.2 in of rain forecast at HNL that day
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 2.24 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.