Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2254
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
WN 2254 · DAL → LIT
departs 4:10 PM CT · arrives 5:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 58% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at LIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to LIT?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
4pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LIT
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.22 in
LIT (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 7,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.