Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2262
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2262 · LAS → LIH
departs 9:25 AM PT · arrives 12:45 PM HT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 22%
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at LIH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIH?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at LIH that day
↑
LIH is prone to delays
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LIH (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.90 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.