Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2329
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
WN 2329 · SAN → HNL
departs 6:30 PM PT · arrives 9:30 PM HT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 46%
Mon 10/5 30%
Fri 10/9 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at HNL that day
↑
6pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
Arrivals into HNL at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SAN that day
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.