Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2343
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2343 · RNO → DEN
departs 2:50 PM PT · arrives 6:10 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−45 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −45 pts in 24h
−45 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −25 pts in 24h
−25 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
RNO (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.