Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 234 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 234 · AUS → LAS

departs 6:09 PM CT · arrives 6:34 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

62% chance · ±0 pts +29 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ 6pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.14 in

LAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 234 · AUS → LAS

Odds over time