WN 2395 · LGA → BNA

took off 3:28 PM ET · expected to land 4:10 PM CT (scheduled 2:27 PM ET → 3:40 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

99% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BNA?

LIVE

On time or early
1%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
76%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2395 · LGA → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?