Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2401 LANDED 8:51 AM MT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 2401 · LGA → DEN

took off 7:22 AM ET · landed 8:51 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±2 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2401 · LGA → DEN

Odds over time